Q4 2024 ANALYSIS FEATURING ITR ECONOMICS
CEO confidence soars into 2025, signaling the approach of the long-anticipated growth cycle
The Q4 2024 Vistage CEO Confidence Index rose sharply to 100.8, a gain of 15.7 points from Q3.
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VISTAGE CEO CONFIDENCE INDEX
The Vistage CEO Confidence Index is calculated from responses to a set of six questions about the current and future state of the U.S. economy, revenue and profitability projections and hiring and investment plans. Measured over time, the Index reflects trends in the U.S. economy and leads both GDP and changes to employment.
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE
“The first half of 2025 is the best time for making investments. Businesses should balance the benefits of lower borrowing costs against the need to be prepared for rising demand.”
Lauren Saidel-Baker
CFA and Economist, ITR Economics
VISTAGE CEO CONFIDENCE INDEX COMPONENTS
The components of the CEO Confidence Index include six standard questions that are scored as the percentage giving favorable replies minus the percentage giving unfavorable replies, plus 100. The Vistage CEO Confidence Index is the sum of the components calculated as a percentage of the level recorded in the Q2 2003 survey. Because the survey began in Q2 2003, the Index for that month was 100.
VISTAGE CEO INDEX: CURRENT EVENTS
Each quarter the survey captures data on the most pressing issues and challenges CEOs and other key leaders of SMBs are facing. Analysis provides perspectives to help leaders make better decisions for their businesses, and the data is foundational to insights created by Vistage research.
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VISTAGE CEO CONFIDENCE INDEX ARTICLES
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For 20 years, the Vistage CEO Confidence Index has been the definitive voice of high-performing, high-integrity small and midsize business leaders. It’s provided the world-class insights that chief decision-makers need, in service to our vision of being the most trusted resource to SMBs. Using ITR Economics rate-of-change methodology, analysis has revealed that the Vistage CEO Confidence Index is a leading indicator of the U.S. Industrial Production Index 9 months in advance.